TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x603e…3128

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.74
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+99.7%+$785.47
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,753Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$584.33
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+117%+$128.67
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+25%+$363.16
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$9.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+131.9%+$29.34
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.06
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$30.83
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+85.8%+$117.68
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.48
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+27.9%+$27.74
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$2,495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,494.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,543.83
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$30.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.89
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.65
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,889.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.