TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9060…3578

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst Stocks at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT8964%57 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$4.8
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Norma Dumont (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Norma Dumont · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
UFC Fight Night: Eric McConico vs. Rodolfo Vieira (null, Prelims)backed Rodolfo Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Marcus Buchecha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
UFC Fight Night: Sedriques Dumas vs. Jackson McVey (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Jackson McVey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.47
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Michelle Montague · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.62
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Julia Polastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.73
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Charles Jourdain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.35
UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Mandel Nallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Jasmine Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.73
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Gauge Young · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.81
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Melissa Croden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.35
UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Robert Valentin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.46
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Gokhan Saricam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.46
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Jamey-Lyn Horth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.68
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.73
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Cub Swanson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11.2
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.55
UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Aaron Pico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.47
UFC 327: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Mateusz Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.56
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.79
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+53.8%+$6.46
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.38
Vikings vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.67
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.