TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80ed…6a3d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$76.51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$89.03
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.03
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+41.9%+$39.09
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$123.44
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.4%+$108.65
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.59
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.6
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9.32
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+48.3%+$207.43
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+36.2%+$142.59
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$59.99
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+64.3%+$45.05
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$65.02
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+426.3%+$243
Suns vs. Knicksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$70.06
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Jazz vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.18
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+70.6%+$90.83
Clippers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$203.18
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+475.1%+$99.77
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$12.35
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$8.87
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.2
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+292.7%+$43.91
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.47
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.48
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+122.9%+$61.45
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 Korea Republic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$31.68
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$59.4
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$84.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.