TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea35…e42f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.24
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.13
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.46
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.81
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+352.9%+$54.28
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+268.6%+$32
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.41
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+249.1%+$82.15
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.75
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.81
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.72
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.15
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+199%+$35.04
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$15.28
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+182.7%+$80.62
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+182.8%+$21.93
All 22 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+102%+$23
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jets vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$13.38
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$16.58
Sharks vs. Bluesbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-61.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Daniil Ostapenkovbacked Daniil Ostapenkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.25
Rome: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Madrid Open: Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$145.99
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Svyatoslav Gulinbacked Svyatoslav Gulin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Otto Virtanenbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.62
Bucharest Open, Qualification: George Loffhagen vs Jurij Rodionovbacked George Loffhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.68
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Belarus win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112%+$22.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$70.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.