TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56ee…2c77

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$7.88
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$20.59
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$46.88
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$52.68
Wizards vs. Trail Blazersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+341.2%+$382.73
Kings vs. Hawksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.91
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+94.3%+$202.34
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46.92
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.68
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$69.63
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.12
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$29.47
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.64
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$50.6
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.32
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Bruins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$112.18
Panthers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$43.53
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.16
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$29.08
Athletics vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.13
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arcium launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.