TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66d8…d53c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NHL, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT3158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$31.3
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.73
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$112.15
Penguins vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.27
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$6.89
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.24
Sabres vs. Blackhawksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.74
Canucks vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Flyers vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.67
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.19
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.21
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.1
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.05
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.45
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.77
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.58
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$28.14
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.68
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.39
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.87
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$10.15
LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.88
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+292.7%+$58.75
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$20
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$24.14
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.28
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$13.37
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-33.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$16.83
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.7
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.74
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.91
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.32
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$6.35
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.