TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc056…98b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 49 out of 100 (-0.01 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 49 out of 100; worst NHL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.68
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$256.33
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$273.24
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.76
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.22
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$117.82
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.45
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.83
Red Wings vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$115.67
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+171%+$75.34
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$80.01
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$172.43
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99.55
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$148.48
Maple Leafs vs. Rangersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$139.43
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$265.45
Flyers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$56.39
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.34
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$50.96
Kraken vs. Bluesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50.62
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+127.3%+$46.34
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$106.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.92
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$247.66
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$72.9
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$64.71
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$120.67
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$97.51
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.9
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.43
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.75
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$105.75
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$46.85
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48.89
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$48.57
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$39.78
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$27.8
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.83
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$262.4
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.26
All 19 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.