TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-19.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,649 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc23e…98a4backed Spurs17c4,028$666 inLost-$66680%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spurs12c2,500$300 inLost-$3005435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks78c2,035$1,589 inWon+$446.491,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs21c1,643$340 inLost-$339.831,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs16c652.65$105 inLost-$105.393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Spurs28c613$170 inLost-$170.384355.8%24 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs28c440$123 inLost-$123.26437.5%24 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Spurs29c336$97 inLost-$96.824151.2%21 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa9…00abbacked Spurs15c333.33$50 inLost-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-53.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs17c311.32$52 inLost-$52.441,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spurs15c200.06$31 inLost-$30.7222753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Knicks67c125$84 inWon+$419956.6%56 W · 43 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Spurs30c122.96$37 inLost-$36.8926345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0d…ca2cbacked Spurs13c120$16 inLost-$15.63030%9 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs9c110$10 inLost-$10.3430842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs14c100.36$14 inLost-$14.0564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs28c99$28 inLost-$27.7245445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…f5d4backed Knicks71c65.59$47 inWon+$19.021957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.