TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x74d7…9ee7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.81
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.23
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.51
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.85
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.64
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.98
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.77
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+300%+$32.05
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
All 21 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+134.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Bartonbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.59
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Clara Tauson vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.11
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.73
Paris: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Blinkovabacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Ognjen Milicbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$56.42
Zagreb: Yannick Alexandrescou vs August Holmgrenbacked Yannick Alexandrescou · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$136.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$16.29
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$72.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.96
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$6.73
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.