TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa912…1081

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Stars vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.12
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$32.01
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.59
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.51
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$23.88
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+45%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$13.33
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$16.7
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+72%+$10.79
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by between 60% and 70%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.