TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc743…fab0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Japan: Brazil O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Uruguay leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Germany leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-48.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$14.84
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.