TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Under9c3,558$332 inLost-$331.861,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Under16c1,355$218 inLost-$218.226636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under29c1,004$290 inLost-$2901,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under22c1,000$223 inLost-$2232,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4504…9c3cbacked Over72c750.56$541 inWon+$209.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over74c676.95$500 inWon+$176.9521574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under29c500$145 inLost-$14511437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under28c408.06$114 inLost-$114.2625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under29c275.86$80 inLost-$801225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over71c275.86$196 inWon+$803964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over76c259.42$197 inWon+$62.583,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over63c246$154 inWon+$91.9893148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under25c233.76$59 inLost-$59.0553842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over78c187.98$146 inWon+$42.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under29c136.07$39 inLost-$39.4625352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e7…d4ccbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon+$26.581060%6 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Under12c123.13$15 inLost-$15.224431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over71c121.45$86 inWon+$35.2230448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Under11c107.94$11 inLost-$11.363333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over64c83.41$53 inWon+$30.1260250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under28c65.28$18 inLost-$18.281,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4270…6168backed Under37c63.34$23 inLost-$23.131729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under21c58$12 inLost-$12.1852053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over72c54.54$39 inWon+$15.1725554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Over72c51.39$37 inWon+$14.3910861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over71c50$36 inWon+$14.510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under27c50$13 inLost-$13.589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3317…166abacked Under31c45.6$14 inLost-$147338.4%28 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under40c45$18 inLost-$1871752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Over76c33.83$26 inWon+$8.122576%19 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over73c31.16$23 inWon+$8.4164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Over76c30$23 inWon+$7.24261.9%26 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9a…b270backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon+$7.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df8…9c68backed Over73c27.4$20 inWon+$7.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over70c21.64$15 inWon+$6.44736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over67c21.42$14 inWon+$6.9814264.8%92 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.