NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8d4bfea890b361a4c83738385f4750a717ca51938e12101ca281beb0aa0dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Spurs | 48c | 6,694$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,243.44 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Spurs | 29c | 4,444$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.76 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks | 71c | 4,291$3,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.89 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks | 52c | 3,471$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.77 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Knicks | 54c | 2,642$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.57 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 57c | 2,204$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 44c | 2,000$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.48 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks | 70c | 1,109$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.12 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Knicks | 51c | 956.21$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.05 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Spurs | 31c | 895$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.45 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 32c | 685.58$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Spurs | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Knicks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Spurs | 44c | 495$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.23 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Knicks | 69c | 416.65$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 34c | 330$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Knicks | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Knicks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…68f7backed Knicks | 71c | 254.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Knicks | 59c | 252.75$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Knicks | 60c | 206$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Knicks | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Spurs | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Knicks | 77c | 161.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Spurs | 31c | 138.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 28c | 122.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs | 28c | 118.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks | 73c | 111.6$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Spurs | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Knicks | 55c | 109$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Knicks | 68c | 103.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs | 24c | 102.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Knicks | 50c | 99.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks | 60c | 94.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 22c | 79.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Knicks | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Knicks | 74c | 63.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Spurs | 45c | 54.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Knicks | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Spurs | 34c | 47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Spurs | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Knicks | 62c | 44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Knicks | 61c | 41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Knicks | 74c | 29.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Knicks | 58c | 27.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 42c | 27.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Knicks | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Knicks | 74c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Knicks | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dylan Harper: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. SpursKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 100.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 198.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 200.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 201.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 203.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 204.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 207.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Spurs: Team to Score FirstSpurs won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 18.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.