TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0c2e…af91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST5373.6%39 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+25%+$3.8
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+37%+$3.78
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.35
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.28
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.15
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+33.3%+$3.5
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20.44
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.59
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.12
Kings vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$9.1
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+53.8%+$8.75
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.3
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+37%+$5.4
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+29.9%+$2.99
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$2.5
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.59
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+58.7%+$5.92
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$7.74
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.16
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$3.64
Grizzlies vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$3.36
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$7.38
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$6.63
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$6.66
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.37
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$4.65
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.08
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$5.92
All 13 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+37%+$3.78
Fever vs. Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$5.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.20 released by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+33.1%+$5.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.