TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9226…947c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-6.0wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-27.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.23
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.99
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$135
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.44
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$48.52
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.8
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.34
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.92
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.14
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.52
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.61
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$236.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$266.3
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$19.71
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.13
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$51.45
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$105.75
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$67.25
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$42.03
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.65
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.06
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.35
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$144.97
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.67
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.14
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$66.1
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.54
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$194.71
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$31.94
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$17.67
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$12.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Utah Jazz vs. LA Clippersbacked LA Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.