TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e62…b6ff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$105.6
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$81
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$112.77
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$455
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$1,112.28
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Titans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$40.5
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$102.5
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$57.6
49ers vs. Coltsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$67.39
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$90.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.