TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1ece…924e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships: Nikola Bartunkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Halle Open: Nuno Borges vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$44.41
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38%+$26.62
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$19.84
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$3.62
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Parma: Alycia Parks vs Susan Bandecchibacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.81
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martina Trevisan vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$5.16
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Mabacked Yexin Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Ostrava: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Zdenek Kolarbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$7.63
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-42.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$10.13
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$30.98
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$9.04
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$12.66
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$8.93
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$2.91
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+149%+$19.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$9.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.