Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x328676c5434e6226bd6e3c5175d767037a9c5cd10f94d800ce355534719ff7d2

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,963 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb410…7736backed Yes	56c	667.02$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.86	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	41c	512.12$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.46	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeed…074bbacked Yes	59c	433$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.47	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-4.2wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	40c	379.15$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.03	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	63c	270$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a8…7d57backed Yes	44c	191.24$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc67b…b024backed Yes	58c	176$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.08	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes	52c	133$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.16	62	46.8%29 W · 33 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	38c	132.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.01	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed No	48c	126.64$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.45	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+5.3wins	+0.20per pick	45cpaid	+41.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	39c	120$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.2	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	46c	107$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.84	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed No	38c	106$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.72	72	48.6%35 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked No	44c	100.18$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	169	27.8%47 W · 122 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	44c	97.5$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No	73c	80$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	65	78.5%51 W · 14 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed No	40c	60.78$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.75	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x211a…6ef4backed No	50c	59.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.8	60	36.7%22 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc054…2050backed Yes	65c	58.55$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.06	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	56c	57.39$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.33	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed No	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	70c	51$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6e…7f53backed Yes	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	101	31.7%32 W · 69 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dc7…116fbacked No	52c	48.77$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.41	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed No	41c	47.18$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.76	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ece…924ebacked Yes	61c	41.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	58c	40.68$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked Yes	60c	40$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed Yes	67c	40$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	232	45.7%106 W · 126 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13f…2d85backed No	46c	32.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.61	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	42cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	60c	32.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Yes	62c	32.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.86	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	56c	32.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.49	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked Yes	61c	30$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	47c	24.51$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.99	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…bed6backed Yes	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	59	44.1%26 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc318…d82abacked Yes	73c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd0…550abacked Yes	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed Yes	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event