TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x713d…1107

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$18.79
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.65
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$31.53
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.4
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$12.7
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.14
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.38
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.22
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.91
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Geneva Open: Edas Butvilas vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.29
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$17.5
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$24.23
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovicbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$26.43
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parrybacked Shuai Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignonbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$8.78
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Emiliana Arango vs Ella Seidelbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Magdalena Frech vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.34
Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbertbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$25.01
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Berfu Cengizbacked Berfu Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Diane Parry vs Emma Raducanubacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+43%+$17.21
Hamburg European Open: Jakub Mensik vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Geneva Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Mariano Navonebacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Geneva Open, Qualification: Kilian Feldbausch vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: McCartney Kessler vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked McCartney Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.23
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stagebacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stagebacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs paiN Academy (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked METANOIA WOLVES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship 7 Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$4.97
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #2 Play-Inbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.21
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked paiN Gaming Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
LoL: Meavedron vs EXILE esports (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Seasonbacked Meavedron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.79
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 7 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$11.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$6.84
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.