TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Stefon Diggs: First Touchdown

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
No Touchdownof Stefon Diggs, No Touchdown
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,968 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x58a0…2b5bbacked Stefon Diggs7c3,571$250 inLost-$2507034.3%24 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Stefon Diggs7c1,714$120 inLost-$12018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72b2…52b3backed Stefon Diggs7c1,143$80 inLost-$807739%30 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063c…7767backed Stefon Diggs7c714.29$50 inLost-$502040%8 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d75…d730backed Stefon Diggs7c642.86$45 inLost-$45933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e4…1a80backed Stefon Diggs7c574.99$40 inLost-$401435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick27cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Stefon Diggs7c543.29$38 inLost-$38.03714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-71.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fdc…b235backed Stefon Diggs6c325.77$20 inLost-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0203…270dbacked Stefon Diggs7c281.41$20 inLost-$203438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Stefon Diggs7c258$18 inLost-$18.063231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02e7…2519backed Stefon Diggs7c190$13 inLost-$13.350%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d2…3287backed Stefon Diggs15c134.32$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.