TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,709 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc23e…98a4backed Spurs25c5,174$1,288 inLost-$1,28880%0 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks76c2,347$1,794 inWon+$553.068,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Knicks79c2,041$1,614 inWon+$426.864948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Spurs22c1,949$431 inLost-$431.056541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Knicks76c1,762$1,344 inWon+$418.9453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Knicks72c822.74$591 inWon+$231.679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Knicks79c442.25$350 inWon+$92.2512542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks72c420$302 inWon+$117.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs21c408$87 inLost-$86.7493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Knicks78c320.14$250 inWon+$69.6525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Knicks73c300$219 inWon+$8125045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4d…51a0backed Knicks78c244.87$191 inWon+$53.871145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick71cpaid-39%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs25c213.81$54 inLost-$54.061,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks73c205.48$150 inWon+$55.481,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4de6…4612backed Knicks79c187.82$148 inWon+$39.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs11c164$17 inLost-$17.4645445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d9c…4bb6backed Knicks78c161.04$126 inWon+$35.435565.5%36 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs21c146.52$31 inLost-$31.251,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Spurs21c136.43$29 inLost-$28.7730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Spurs21c134.28$29 inLost-$28.551,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Knicks78c128.21$100 inWon+$28.214156.1%23 W · 18 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-19.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Knicks78c128.21$100 inWon+$28.213262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Knicks75c118.7$88 inWon+$30.2560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Spurs42c106$44 inLost-$44.4625340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Knicks77c100$77 inWon+$232568%17 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d8…e1b3backed Spurs15c97.91$15 inLost-$1510548.6%51 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Knicks78c73.87$58 inWon+$16.2513161.8%81 W · 50 L+13.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs22c70.49$16 inLost-$15.511,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Spurs21c62$13 inLost-$13.028353%44 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Knicks74c60.08$45 inWon+$15.422753.3%121 W · 106 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs33c50$17 inLost-$16.589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Spurs41c50$21 inLost-$20.51,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c5…8d6ebacked Knicks80c44.73$36 inWon+$8.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Knicks57c40$23 inWon+$17.227245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Knicks64c39.06$25 inWon+$14.061850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Knicks80c25$20 inWon+$551946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb6e…2225backed Knicks55c22.22$12 inWon+$10475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Knicks59c21.76$13 inWon+$8.929450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe308…d51dbacked Knicks75c20.04$15 inWon+$5.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-66.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Knicks78c16.83$13 inWon+$3.753349.3%263 W · 270 L-28.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe964…6519backed Knicks80c15$12 inWon+$313052.3%68 W · 62 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 106. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.