TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0e31…0117

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$86.34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.9%+$40.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+61.3%+$78.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+42.9%+$43.92
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.03
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+134.7%+$14.82
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.25
Arkansas State vs. South Alabamabacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
UCF vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Rutgers vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.29
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$6.91
Bengals vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$7.59
Giants vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+64.9%+$7.79
Will Lille win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$9.74
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+31.5%+$6.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.