TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x762e…5fff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$9.29
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$11.46
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$13.85
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+330.7%+$37.17
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Will Lionel Messi score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+95%+$17.05
Will Ezri Konsa be in England's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+167.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$23.03
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$15.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$11.83
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$394.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.