TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba00…2bb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT5740.4%23 W · 34 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+198.4%+$44.06
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Los Angeles Angels vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$12.98
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.71
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.2
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.68
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.98
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.08
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$15.52
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astrosbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.94
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
Athletics vs. Texas Rangersbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Abidjan 2: Karim Bennani vs Karan Singhbacked Karan Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Shymkent 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Ivan Gakhovbacked Ivan Gakhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.02
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.74
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskovabacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.78
Madrid Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.43
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
Madrid Open: Learner Tien vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Madrid Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Oeiras 4: Polina Kudermetova vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Polina Kudermetova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.49
Savannah: Mitchell Krueger vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.57
Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Mert Alkayabacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.49
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$11.05
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$29.77
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$49.91
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.96
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.62
Senators vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$55.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$71.48
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$33.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.64
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$102.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.