TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa62…d46e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$145.7
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$28.82
Knicks vs. Hornets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$168
Raptors vs. Bucksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$73.45
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$23.78
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.79
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$19.11
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.97
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+88.7%+$32.59
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$91.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$13.41
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Rex Regum Qeon (BO5) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Valorant: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+48.7%+$31.69
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+47.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$39.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+55.1%+$12.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$34.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46%+$64.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.