TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,493

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,651 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked Seahawks49c23,179$11,358 inWon+$11,821.1424652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Patriots51c20,000$10,200 inLost-$10,2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Seahawks51c16,199$8,262 inWon+$7,937.7816860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots49c14,852$7,274 inLost-$7,274.1612055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabea…ae4cbacked Patriots51c1,774$905 inLost-$904.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb9…3defbacked Seahawks51c1,373$700 inWon+$672.552147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f59…1866backed Patriots51c1,373$700 inLost-$7001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Patriots51c1,176$600 inLost-$6001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Patriots49c924.05$453 inLost-$452.787526.7%20 W · 55 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Seahawks50c805.31$403 inWon+$402.6617454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Seahawks51c799.99$409 inWon+$39123647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Patriots50c500$250 inLost-$250812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-78.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Patriots48c494.38$237 inLost-$237.325744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Seahawks49c446.99$219 inWon+$227.9619152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Patriots51c328.81$168 inLost-$167.691625%4 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d56…d62ebacked Patriots9c323.03$28 inLost-$28.473129%9 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Patriots50c252.56$126 inLost-$126.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54af…6f94backed Patriots51c212.43$108 inLost-$108.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x335e…9a0bbacked Patriots50c210.21$105 inLost-$105.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709d…ccf3backed Seahawks62c199.99$124 inWon+$76.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8555…59fdbacked Patriots51c196.08$100 inLost-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f3…401fbacked Patriots53c169.81$90 inLost-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fbf…3155backed Patriots50c147$74 inLost-$73.952623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Patriots51c141.18$72 inLost-$722236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Patriots49c95.92$47 inLost-$471154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…4968backed Patriots32c62.64$20 inLost-$19.991020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76d0…49e3backed Seahawks51c59.59$30 inWon+$29.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Patriots50c51.51$26 inLost-$25.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Patriots51c50$26 inLost-$25.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Patriots32c42.98$14 inLost-$13.751225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa81…8a2abacked Patriots49c40.82$20 inLost-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Seahawks48c36.54$18 inWon+$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a85…a309backed Patriots51c30$15 inLost-$15.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Patriots52c28.85$15 inLost-$159652.1%50 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Patriots47c26.09$12 inLost-$12.352532%8 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Patriots49c24.47$12 inLost-$11.99714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1c…2c38backed Patriots50c20$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.