TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f06…f360

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: IPO, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$48.21
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.96
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.66
Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$76.12
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Clippers vs. Jazzbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$40.43
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+29.9%+$26.88
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
Clippers vs. Netsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$21.64
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$112.86
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$115.05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Norway vs. France: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$65.32
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$67.09
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 20 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$82.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.4%+$13.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.