TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc93…67d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$47.89
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$19.61
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.48
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$23.7
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$57.16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 21 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Fnatic vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$25.41
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$21.55
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+196.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+303.7%+$151.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$29.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+504.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will monthly inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+504.3%+$302.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+108.3%+$11.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.