TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x222a…913d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$126.27
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+134.9%+$33.73
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$18.85
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+70.2%+$17.54
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$18.1
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+366.4%+$62.29
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.65
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$60.02
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.96
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+794.7%+$222.53
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$167.39
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+397.2%+$61.52
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.36
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.12
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Canada vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will Israel win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Sabresbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$111.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.