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Wallet 0x5c0b…4771

Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Rebuilt .

Wallet profilescored on settled markets · held to the end

$3,667 staked over 133 qualified picks in 15 categories, 6 of 15 below 50.

60

Best category

Serie A

$420 staked over 15 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.09 per pick.

See the full Serie A board
55

Second best

F1

$82 staked over 5 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.05 per pick.

See the full F1 board
54

Third best

Parlays

$620 staked over 41 qualified picks

Above the line at +0.04 per pick.

See the full Parlays board

If you had taileda hypothetical, not a forecast

Nothing to tail here. This wallet has no qualified Serie A picks that settled in the last 30 days, so there was nothing to put a stake on.

A hypothetical, built only from this wallet’s own qualified Serie A picks. It puts $50 on each one, held to the end, at the price the wallet paid plus the 0c of slippage TailMyPicks adds in its score. It shows what those picks did, not what the next one will do. It is before any fees you pay where you bet.

Record by category15 Categories

What these columns mean
Category
The category of this row’s record, with the day its latest pick settled shown under it. Days are in US Eastern time, the time zone Polymarket uses for its markets. An American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other time zone would show the day after the game. INACTIVE: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there. The score is kept and the wallet keeps its page here. It only leaves the default leaderboard. If it was in the top 50 and its score would still put it there, it still appears in the feed.
Staked
The money this wallet put on its qualified picks in this category: what it risked, not how many times it had an opinion. Nine hundred one-dollar picks and nine hundred thousand-dollar picks are not the same wallet. This figure is never added to anything in what this wallet holds right now, below: the two cover different positions, measured on different days.
When it bets
Whether this wallet bets before the match starts or once it is under way. It shows the share of its qualified picks in this category first bought before the start of play, and the share bought in play, at or after the start. The start is the one Polymarket records: a match's kick-off or, for weather, the start of the day being forecast. An in-play bet is placed while the price is moving, so it is harder to tail in time. This is measured only where play has a start (sports, esports and weather). Under 10 such picks there is no figure, only the count. The figures also show how many picks the shares rest on and how long before or after the start the wallet usually buys: hover them, or open the JSON version of this record.
Holds
How long this wallet usually keeps what it buys here. It is the median, over every pick it has in this category, of the time from its first buy on the side it was judged on until it sold those shares, or until the market settled if it never sold. The When it bets column says when the wallet got in. This says how long it stayed, and a wallet can be early and gone in six seconds. It counts every pick, not only the qualified ones, on purpose: otherwise a wallet that flips its expensive positions and holds its cheap ones would be judged on the half that flatters it. TO THE END: most of those picks were held until the market settled. RESELLS: most were sold before that, so following it means selling when it sells. Its record here is scored as if every pick were held to the end. UNFOLLOWABLE: under 1 min, the wallet is left out of this category's ranking. Its edge may be real, but nobody could follow it. We can only see a wallet move every fifteen seconds, so a position that lasts six seconds is gone before you hear about it.
At your price
What a follower would have made on each qualified pick here, buying the same side 2 minutes after this wallet did, at the market price at that moment. Beside it is the edge: what the wallet made at its own price, on the same picks. The word under it is the share of the edge a follower keeps. A wallet is left out of a category's ranking when a follower who bought the same side 2 minutes later would have kept less than 75% of its edge there. The edge may be real, but the price had moved before anyone following could act. This figure is generous to the wallet: a pick nobody traded in that window counts at the wallet's own price. The word also shows how many picks were measured. Realizable edge is a different figure: it charges every pick the same fixed cost, while this one charges each pick what the market charged.
Qualified picks
Every pick this wallet made in this category that is big enough to count as a real opinion, and cheap enough for a follower to still get the edge. Nothing on this site is scored from anything else.
Win rate
How often this wallet's qualified picks won, with the wins and losses beside it: 62% of 11 picks is not the same as 62% of 1,100. Every pick is held to the end: it is graded on how the market settled, even if the wallet sold early. No board is ranked by this, because favourites win often.
vs expected
Wins, minus the wins the prices this wallet paid already implied. +8 means eight more wins than those prices were pricing in. This number tells a forecaster apart from someone who bought favourites.
Realizable edge
Per qualified pick: how far this wallet beat the price it paid, after charging the worse price a follower gets. Edge is what the wallet got; this is what tailing it would have got. If two cents more a share wipes the edge out, a follower can't use it.
Avg entry
The average price this wallet paid, in cents, over its qualified picks, weighted by how much it put on each. Only buys count: selling later does not change it. 88c next to a 90% win rate means a record built on heavy favourites.
ROI per pick
The average return on one pick, held to the end. Every pick counts the same, whatever its size. That is how this column tells a record earned over many picks from one carried by a few large ones.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
CategoryStakedWhen it betsHoldsAt your priceQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast settled Sep 20, 2026, EDT$420before 27%in play 73%, over 15 Serie A picks with a start of play; typically bought 30 min after the start2 h 18to the end, median over 27 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.24102% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 102% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 15 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1560%9 W · 6 L+3.5+0.2436c+78.7%60
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 20, 2026, EDTWill Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-09-20?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$26-100%-$26.49
Sep 19, 2026, EDTWill AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)33c$24+202.8%+$48.15
Sep 6, 2026, EDTJuventus FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)44c$27-100%-$27.44
Sep 5, 2026, EDTWill AS Roma win on 2026-09-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)28c$19+257.1%+$48.57
Sep 5, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)34c$41+194.1%+$78.93
Sep 5, 2026, EDTSpread: AS Roma (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)AS RomaLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$19-100%-$18.94
Sep 5, 2026, EDTFC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$24+163.2%+$38.73
Aug 31, 2026, EDTUS Lecce vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$44+159.2%+$70.23
Aug 30, 2026, EDTCagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$19-100%-$18.96
Aug 30, 2026, EDTSSC Napoli vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$24+138.1%+$33.2
Aug 29, 2026, EDTSpread: Juventus FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Juventus FCWon (open this pick on its own page)24c$28+316.7%+$89.55
Aug 28, 2026, EDTAC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$49-100%-$49.13
Aug 24, 2026, EDTAS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)31c$28+222.6%+$62.77
Aug 23, 2026, EDTTorino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$34+127.3%+$42.93
Aug 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Juventus FC (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Juventus FCLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$13-100%-$13.23
All 15 picks, newest first.
F1last settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT$82—too few: 5 picks7 h 17to the end, median over 32 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.2997% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 97% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 5 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)580%4 W · 1 L+1.5+0.2951c+50.7%55
Parlayslast settled Oct 20, 2026, EDT$620—no start of play—no market to hold—no market price4131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.5+0.0626c+43.8%54
SettledTicketResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Oct 20, 2026, EDTEngland vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: O/U 2.5 AND Croatia vs. Spain: O/U 3.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)16c$10-100%-$10
Oct 19, 2026, EDTItaly vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 AND Romania vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 AND Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? AND Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?5 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)14c$10-100%-$10
Oct 17, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Switzerland vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Spain (-2.5)3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)25c$16-100%-$16
Oct 17, 2026, EDTCroatia vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: Spain (-2.5)2 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)23c$10-100%-$10
Oct 13, 2026, EDTCzechia vs. England: O/U 3.5 AND Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 AND Spread: Spain (-1.5)3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)17c$10-100%-$10
Oct 12, 2026, EDTSpread: Eagles (-4.5) AND Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 47.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)19c$10-100%-$10
Oct 12, 2026, EDTSweden vs. Poland: O/U 2.5 AND Türkiye vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 AND Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)25c$10-100%-$10
Oct 11, 2026, EDTBengals vs. Steelers: O/U 46.5 AND Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 53.5 AND Spread: Rams (-2.5)3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)17c$10-100%-$10
Oct 11, 2026, EDTGermany vs. Greece: O/U 2.5 AND Serbia vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 AND Austria vs. Kosovo: O/U 3.5 AND Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 2.54 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)11c$10-100%-$10
Oct 9, 2026, EDTSpread: Sweden (-1.5) AND Türkiye vs. France: O/U 3.5 AND Italy vs. Belgium: O/U 2.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)15c$10-100%-$10
Oct 6, 2026, EDTFalcons vs. Saints AND Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 48.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)25c$12+293%+$35.16
Oct 4, 2026, EDTLions vs. Panthers: O/U 48.5 AND Chiefs vs. Raiders: O/U 50.5 AND Chargers vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.53 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)14c$10+623.3%+$62.33
Oct 4, 2026, EDTSeahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 48.5 AND Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)12c$10-100%-$10
Oct 4, 2026, EDTClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 AND Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)16c$16-100%-$15.77
Oct 4, 2026, EDTLeeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 AND Frosinone Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 AND Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.54 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$10-100%-$10
Oct 4, 2026, EDTFeyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 2.5 AND ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)38c$11-100%-$11
Oct 3, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) AND AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 4.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)29c$15-100%-$14.76
Oct 3, 2026, EDTNewcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5 AND Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5 AND Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19?3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)30c$10-100%-$10
Oct 1, 2026, EDTSpread: Bills (-6.5) AND Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)27c$10-100%-$10
Oct 1, 2026, EDTGreece vs. Netherlands: O/U 2.5 AND Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 AND Wales vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Germany (-1.5)4 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)14c$10+622.2%+$62.22
Sep 28, 2026, EDTGaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5 AND Torino FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 AND Como 1907 vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)29c$20-100%-$20.41
Sep 28, 2026, EDTRams vs. Broncos AND Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 64.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)11c$10+790.3%+$79.03
Sep 27, 2026, EDTSpread: Eagles (-6.5) AND Commanders vs. Eagles: O/U 43.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)23c$10-100%-$10
Sep 27, 2026, EDTBills vs. Texans: O/U 41.5 AND Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)30c$15-100%-$15
Sep 27, 2026, EDTManchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 AND Bills vs. Texans: O/U 40.5 AND Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.53 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)36c$10-100%-$10
Sep 26, 2026, EDTLiverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 AND BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SC Paderborn 07: O/U 2.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)50c$120-100%-$120.41
Sep 24, 2026, EDTPSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5 AND Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5 AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?3 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)28c$10-100%-$10
Sep 23, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) AND FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.52 legsDid not (open this parlay on its own page)39c$20-100%-$20
Sep 22, 2026, EDTBV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5 AND Lille OSC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5 AND FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5 AND Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.54 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)30c$10-100%-$10
Sep 21, 2026, EDTAl Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5 AND Cagliari Calcio vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5 AND Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5 AND Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-09-07?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)27c$12-100%-$11.63
Sep 20, 2026, EDTJuventus FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5 AND Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-06? AND Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06?4 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)13c$10-100%-$10
Sep 20, 2026, EDTEverton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainDid not (open this parlay on its own page)41c$10-100%-$10
Sep 19, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) AND AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5 AND AS Roma vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.53 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)13c$10+664.4%+$66.44
Sep 18, 2026, EDTFC Groningen vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 2.5 AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)3 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)35c$12+188.9%+$22.92
Sep 16, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Barcelona (-3.5) AND Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)27c$10+269.6%+$26.96
Sep 15, 2026, EDTElche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 AND AFC Ajax vs. Willem II Tilburg: O/U 3.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)35c$21+187.2%+$39.32
Sep 14, 2026, EDTVillarreal CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 AND FC Internazionale Milano vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)28c$20+261.3%+$51.74
Sep 13, 2026, EDTLevante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 AND PEC Zwolle vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)3 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)28c$10+262.6%+$26.26
Sep 13, 2026, EDTSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.52 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)57c$30+75.6%+$22.69
Sep 10, 2026, EDTFC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5 AND Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5 AND Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.53 legsCame in (open this parlay on its own page)29c$20+241.9%+$48.38
Sep 6, 2026, EDTArsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5 AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?2 legs · legs not recovered from the chainCame in (open this parlay on its own page)46c$10+116.4%+$11.64
All 41 parlays, newest first.A parlay pays a dollar a share only if every leg wins, and its Entry is the price of the whole ticket, market maker’s margin included. That is why most of the Parlays board sits below 50, and why that is normal, not a board full of bad forecasters.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast settled Aug 30, 2026, EDT$64—too few: 3 picks7 h 04to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.34100% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 100% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 1 of 3 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0+0.3433c+73.9%54
NFLlast settled Oct 11, 2026, EDT$267—too few: 7 picks2 h 41to the end, median over 16 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 2 of them sold before the market settled+0.1193% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 93% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 4 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9+0.1231c+37.7%53
La Liga Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$525before 31%in play 69%, over 16 La Liga picks with a start of play; typically bought 44 min after the start2 h 18to the end, median over 26 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.07111% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 111% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 13 of 16 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0+0.0637c+13.5%53
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDTAthletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$14-100%-$13.91
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$24-100%-$23.77
Aug 31, 2026, EDTExact Score: Any Other Score?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)49c$24+104.1%+$24.85
Aug 30, 2026, EDTRC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)39c$23+156.4%+$36.71
Aug 30, 2026, EDTReal Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$24-100%-$23.78
Aug 29, 2026, EDTWill Levante UD win on 2026-08-29?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$57-100%-$57.33
Aug 29, 2026, EDTSpread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Real Betis BalompiéLost (open this pick on its own page)21c$33-100%-$32.94
Aug 27, 2026, EDTFC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)51c$58-100%-$57.68
Aug 26, 2026, EDTReal Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$28+163.2%+$46.48
Aug 26, 2026, EDTReal Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$16+212.5%+$35
Aug 25, 2026, EDTValencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)15c$14-100%-$14.07
Aug 25, 2026, EDTWill Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-25?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesWon (open this pick on its own page)32c$47+212.5%+$100.6
Aug 22, 2026, EDTSpread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Real Madrid CFLost (open this pick on its own page)42c$76-100%-$76.07
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$47-100%-$47.49
Aug 20, 2026, EDTRayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)40c$19+150%+$28.52
Aug 19, 2026, EDTClub Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$19+117.4%+$22.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast settled Aug 23, 2026, EDT$560—too few: 8 picks2 h 53to the end, median over 9 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled0.00out of reach, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 6% of this wallet's edge here, under the 75% needed to be followed, so it is left out of this category's ranking (measured on 8 of 9 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6+0.0627c-24.8%52
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$68+163.2%+$110.34
Aug 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winneron Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TEAM VISIONWon (open this pick on its own page)54c$86+85.2%+$73.46
Aug 23, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)19c$47-100%-$47.01
Aug 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)BoomBoysLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$41-100%-$41.12
Aug 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team YandexLost (open this pick on its own page)13c$28-100%-$28.03
Aug 22, 2026, EDTDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nigma GalaxyLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$20-100%-$19.86
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Nigma GalaxyLost (open this pick on its own page)9c$124-100%-$123.93
Aug 21, 2026, EDTDota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffson Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Team SpiritLost (open this pick on its own page)24c$97-100%-$97
Aug 21, 2026, EDTGames Total: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)44c$49+128.2%+$62.59
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast settled Jul 19, 2026, EDT$482before 50%in play 50%, over 14 Fifa International picks with a start of play; typically bought 21 min before the start3 h 31to the end, median over 45 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled+0.0377% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 77% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 14 of 14 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5+0.0439c-1.9%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Jul 19, 2026, EDTSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaLost (open this pick on its own page)20c$19-100%-$19.05
Jul 15, 2026, EDTEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$12+119.8%+$14.27
Jul 14, 2026, EDTFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)SpainWon (open this pick on its own page)43c$11+129.9%+$14.51
Jul 12, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)63c$20+58.7%+$11.7
Jul 7, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceon Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$29+184.8%+$53.03
Jul 6, 2026, EDTWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)37c$34-100%-$34.42
Jul 6, 2026, EDTPortugal vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)29c$15-100%-$14.54
Jul 5, 2026, EDTMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)38c$24+163.2%+$39.65
Jul 5, 2026, EDTWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)46c$117+117.4%+$137.24
Jul 4, 2026, EDTParaguay vs. France: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$78-100%-$77.71
Jul 4, 2026, EDTWill Morocco win on 2026-07-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)47c$64-100%-$64.31
Jul 3, 2026, EDTWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)32c$29-100%-$29.3
Jul 3, 2026, EDTArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)39c$19-100%-$18.57
Jul 3, 2026, EDTSpread: Argentina (-2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)ArgentinaLost (open this pick on its own page)38c$11-100%-$10.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast settled Aug 19, 2026, EDT$71—too few: 2 picks1 h 43to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled+0.23183% kept, a follower buying 2 minutes later would have kept 183% of this wallet's edge here (measured on 2 of 2 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)250%1 W · 1 L+0.3+0.1337c+42.9%51
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 19, 2026, EDTNEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)35c$47+185.7%+$88.07
Aug 18, 2026, EDTWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)YesLost (open this pick on its own page)40c$24-100%-$23.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast settled Sep 1, 2026, EDT$140—too few: 7 picks3 h 18to the end, median over 13 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 4 of them sold before the market settled-0.06no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 3 of 7 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4-0.0635c-24%49
Bundesliga Inactivelast settled Sep 5, 2026, EDT$19—too few: 1 pick4 h 32to the end, median over 7 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.36no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.3636c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 5, 2026, EDTSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)FC Bayern MünchenLost (open this pick on its own page)36c$19-100%-$18.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast settled Aug 27, 2026, EDT$25—too few: 1 pick3 h 45to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.43no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.4-0.4545c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Aug 27, 2026, EDTArarat-Armenia FA vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)45c$25-100%-$25.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT$349before 30%in play 70%, over 10 Premier League picks with a start of play; typically bought 4 min after the start3 h 15to the end, median over 29 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 1 of them sold before the market settled-0.07no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 9 of 10 picks; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7-0.0737c-29.6%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 6, 2026, EDTArsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$24-100%-$23.71
Sep 5, 2026, EDTNewcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)37c$24+170.3%+$40.41
Aug 24, 2026, EDTFulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverWon (open this pick on its own page)51c$57+96.1%+$54.68
Aug 24, 2026, EDTFulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 5.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)41c$19-100%-$19.03
Aug 23, 2026, EDTWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoWon (open this pick on its own page)42c$56+138.1%+$77.51
Aug 23, 2026, EDTSpread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Liverpool FCLost (open this pick on its own page)30c$26-100%-$26.48
Aug 22, 2026, EDTBrentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)34c$48-100%-$47.77
Aug 22, 2026, EDTWill Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)33c$19-100%-$18.94
Aug 21, 2026, EDTSpread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)Coventry City FCLost (open this pick on its own page)28c$57-100%-$56.95
Aug 17, 2026, EDTCardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)OverLost (open this pick on its own page)35c$19-100%-$18.96
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast settled Sep 6, 2026, EDT$20—too few: 1 pick2 h 47to the end, median over 4 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.49no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 0 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.5-0.4949c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 6, 2026, EDTSet Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Tabilo (+2.5)on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)TabiloLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$20-100%-$20.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast settled Sep 4, 2026, EDT$24—too few: 1 pick1 h 13to the end, median over 3 picks in this category, every pick counted and not only the qualified ones; 0 of them sold before the market settled-0.50no edge, this wallet has no edge here for a follower to keep (measured on 1 of 1 pick; a pick nobody traded within 2 minutes counts at this wallet's own price)10%0 W · 1 L-0.5-0.4949c-100%48
SettledMarketPositionResultEntrySizeReturnP/L held
Sep 4, 2026, EDTWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-04?on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)NoLost (open this pick on its own page)49c$24-100%-$23.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
What is a Tail Score?

A score out of 100, per category. 50 means no edge at all: this wallet did about as well as the prices it paid said it would. Above 50, it beat those prices. Below 50, it did worse.

The scale never moves. 100 means beating the prices paid by 0.45 per pick, and 0 means losing to them by the same. That holds for every wallet, on every page, every month. So a score you screenshot today keeps its meaning, and any two wallets can be compared.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, scores run from about 5 to 87. That is the price of a scale that never moves, and it is why a score keeps its meaning.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four picks in five and still score below 50 if the market already priced those outcomes at 90c. It paid for those wins instead of finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below tell the two apart.

The score is pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence, on purpose. Three lucky picks do not make a high score. Several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest score over thousands of picks tells you something a high score over twelve does not.

Because of this pull toward 50, a category score is a cautious reading. A wallet’s headline figure is its best category, so it always plays down how badly the wallet does in its worst one. That is why the table below shows each category rather than one blended number.

Not every trade counts. A pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks only scores what a wallet can be judged on: positions held to the end, in markets with enough volume to count, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has settled, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by us, not measured.