TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6aeb…67a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT3852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Sabres vs. Rangersbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Golden Knights vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Blackhawks vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+75.1%+$22.54
Bruins vs. Penguinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Penguins vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$30.65
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Robert Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
UFC Fight Night: Marcus McGhee vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Marcus McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yousri Belgaroui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+76.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+201.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+86.9%+$17.38
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+316.7%+$47.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.