TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-25.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,819
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,819 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs7c15,044$1,000 inLost-$1,0009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Spurs0c6,967$11 inLost-$10.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs7c6,632$450 inLost-$45029040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs6c6,451$367 inLost-$367.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs7c5,071$349 inLost-$349.4984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spurs4c1,890$76 inLost-$75.5911333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs3c1,524$53 inLost-$53.131,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…55b7backed Spurs6c1,299$78 inLost-$77.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs7c1,255$83 inLost-$82.6918235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs5c1,121$56 inLost-$55.5653842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Spurs6c804.86$50 inLost-$507950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Spurs17c588.71$100 inLost-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Spurs5c575.96$31 inLost-$31.371,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Spurs7c572.18$40 inLost-$402748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Spurs7c528.57$37 inLost-$3747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs5c500$25 inLost-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Spurs6c233.33$14 inLost-$142766.7%18 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+52.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Spurs10c225.1$23 inLost-$23.052326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-44.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spurs5c200$10 inLost-$1018653.2%99 W · 87 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs13c97$13 inLost-$12.6193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.