TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb22…8db7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4055%22 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.49
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$14.51
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.46
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$18.61
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+161.3%+$21.97
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.49
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$23.1
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$9.03
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$24.59
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$15.38
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$32.57
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.57
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$8.68
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$15.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$18.39
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$19.98
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$7.67
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.68
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$23.14
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.84
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.33
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$14.69
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.2
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35%+$13.72
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+61.5%+$7.22
Will Gen.G win the LCK Cup 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.32
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+50.1%+$45.55
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.8%+$7.06
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.61
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.69
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.18
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$24.65
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.79
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.