Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe47e3a72bbf35b92d5e91aff8647406160b7c615ddc57e6c5f024c5a22e01925

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,480 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5011…220ebacked No	48c	326.2$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.28	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+50%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes	10c	199.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed Yes	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	168	47%79 W · 89 L	-11.5wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	52c	80$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e1…1b3dbacked Yes	52c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	59cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e2…d8b0backed Yes	52c	24$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4382…efeabacked Yes	51c	22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa74…78b9backed Yes	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-9.0wins	-0.20per pick	59cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x747e…3e23backed Yes	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf862…784bbacked Yes	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed No	80c	13.33$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.67	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+75.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event