TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Knicksof Spurs, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,966
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,966 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs20c32,902$6,500 inLost-$6,5009725.8%25 W · 72 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Knicks79c8,114$6,410 inWon+$1,704.01785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick60cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Knicks80c6,000$4,800 inWon+$1,2002,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Knicks80c2,000$1,590 inWon+$41066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Spurs14c1,200$170 inLost-$170.2818235.7%65 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Knicks70c1,168$818 inWon+$350.41,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Knicks80c460$368 inWon+$9212146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs15c304$46 inLost-$46.2393148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Knicks68c258.15$177 inWon+$81.5632654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11c9…1184backed Spurs17c216.18$37 inLost-$36.7560%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Knicks80c200$160 inWon+$401,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Knicks80c187.5$150 inWon+$37.51,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Spurs16c156.25$25 inLost-$2540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0539…70f9backed Spurs16c124.63$20 inLost-$204035%14 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x798c…e64cbacked Spurs17c117.65$20 inLost-$204748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Knicks80c88$70 inWon+$17.630842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Knicks79c60$47 inWon+$12.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks80c44.56$36 inWon+$8.912,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Knicks79c30$24 inWon+$6.31,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x303a…7c84backed Knicks68c28$19 inWon+$8.961369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Knicks70c19.64$14 inWon+$5.8937652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 84. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.