TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2232…d987

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.27
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$17.3
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$22.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.16
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.5
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$18
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.41
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealandbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.