TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc703…8ddd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Heat (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.18
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Spread: Suns (-10.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Spread: Hawks (-16.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+102%+$19.7
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+182.2%+$26.27
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+87.5%+$26.25
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.96
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.82
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.01
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Devils vs. Canadiensbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$12.77
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$17.1
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 14 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+133.5%+$96.35
Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$33.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Miami Open: Zizou Bergs vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$23.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+227%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+227%+$56.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.