Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24cfc4bfecfb3ab156d12c3490084e6da4f148bfc860581361364d3108965dbc

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $11,041
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,041 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked No	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	161	16.1%26 W · 135 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed No	17c	1,037$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.02	76	21.1%16 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No	12c	699.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	12c	522.36$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.46	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57bd…3595backed No	15c	405.23$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.79	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	19c	240$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.8	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	12c	219.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.32	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked No	16c	153.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	45	20%9 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No	11c	128.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.69	65	78.5%51 W · 14 L	+8.7wins	+0.13per pick	65cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xab19…3b87backed No	14c	120$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefb…09febacked No	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed No	17c	99.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dcd…a631backed No	12c	91$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb842…330ebacked No	12c	84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad1c…c794backed No	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mikel Oyarzabal score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event