Will William Saliba score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb51af573303718168908b46244368562fc45997b8769a8b81837488ca1209f9b

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $44,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,019 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x26b1…cc81backed Yes	0c	16,187$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.19	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…9ffdbacked Yes	4c	764$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.28	51	5.9%3 W · 48 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	4c	564$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	6c	503$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.22	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x976c…0689backed Yes	4c	484.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.38	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	5c	400$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	8c	330.35$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.43	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Yes	4c	275$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	265.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes	7c	186$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	199	58.3%116 W · 83 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	16c	174.54$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes	20c	130$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.3	130	51.5%67 W · 63 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	8c	129.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d8…ceb0backed Yes	12c	126.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	13c	115$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will William Saliba score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event