Will Mateo Kovačić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe03e43c0c8c9cd869205bc1b3ea9fa560c57558586f32d1792b480eea3f1f820

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,978 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	72c	300$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1694…8badbacked Yes	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7e…a490backed Yes	12c	201.14$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.41	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	24c	130.02$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.64	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…678ebacked Yes	19c	106.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	10c	102.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c60…5c52backed No	62c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.2	44	68.2%30 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e3…b6d0backed No	72c	38.11$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.67	64	26.6%17 W · 47 L	-12.2wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xd11a…5ffdbacked No	70c	35$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.65	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.7wins	+0.21per pick	52cpaid	+47.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mateo Kovačić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event