Will Nicolas Pépé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5398ec08e28e4e90b2d287b86dbb3037c5c0c9e0e418e3ada00a485a0ec67bb

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,087

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,360 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb854…a75dbacked Yes	73c	687.78$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.78	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	70c	432.39$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.92	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	31c	328.65$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.66	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	42c	119.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.7	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc104…f24fbacked Yes	25c	108$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e4b…83e2backed Yes	26c	96.15$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.15	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	33c	86$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	68c	80.02$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.75	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No	21c	69.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	68c	63.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	46c	62.07$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.77	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	47c	62$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.1	144	36.1%52 W · 92 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	32c	47.81$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.71	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	54c	40.07$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.43	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked No	49c	31.96$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.66	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes	51c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.7	129	36.4%47 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	71c	23.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.65	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Nicolas Pépé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event