TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac5a…f2a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7456.8%42 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+546.6%+$163.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$34.67
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$52.59
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$178.87
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+190.6%+$80.06
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$19.54
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$32.16
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.43
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$23.28
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$44.69
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.18
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+156.2%+$31.25
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+157.8%+$39.44
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$242.73
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$25.09
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$11.74
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Australian Open Men's: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+36.1%+$21.64
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-73%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108%+$11.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.2%+$21.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+34.2%+$20.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+289.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. Minnesota Golden Gophersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+289.7%+$43.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.4%+$7.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.