Will Matheus Cunha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03db1b3bf849f05c60e9e7a52ce7d9b27f478fcd89fe01350bae6aabff2b0b1d

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,531 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x75f0…2b66backed No	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	60c	352.91$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.91	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	75c	160$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8647…d870backed No	24c	150$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	64	43.8%28 W · 36 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed No	32c	132.6$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.95	185	38.9%72 W · 113 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	32c	123.09$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.89	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed No	24c	79.17$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	75c	60$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2828…23c1backed Yes	39c	52.85$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.24	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes	66c	52.85$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	122	53.3%65 W · 57 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	31c	50.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.64	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked No	42c	49.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe702…b6c1backed No	39c	46$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed No	33c	45.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed No	37c	44.76$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked No	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	71c	38.14$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked Yes	67c	37.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.31	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	33c	35.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.79	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	64c	35$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.6	1,306	44.7%584 W · 722 L	-9.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	58c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e81…864bbacked Yes	67c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	63cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2e…2779backed Yes	79c	18.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Matheus Cunha score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event