Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6607c6f100f4ceba1ad2713542f3d0573b8883de377287a9772b9d1ff8fd98a7

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $58,124
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,124 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee03…6edbbacked Yes	2c	10,823$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.47	168	54.8%92 W · 76 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed Yes	3c	5,281$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.78	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51d…1578backed Yes	2c	4,996$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.36	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	0c	3,352$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3981…f906backed Yes	3c	2,730$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes	2c	1,737$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.68	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7149…ea99backed Yes	6c	1,602$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.96	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	24cpaid	-77%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes	2c	1,527$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+4.7wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,412$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.99	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58b…51fdbacked Yes	3c	1,203$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.6	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	3c	1,090$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	74c	120$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.4	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde03…e629backed Yes	26c	100$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event