Will Jules Koundé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1ddffea31f0ea7d87e4d9b368f361acbf04409e8a14dc5317b830b83e619de8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,112 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	3,397$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.71	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	4c	1,635$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.41	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	857.27$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.86	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…484abacked Yes	6c	733.07$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	127	35.4%45 W · 82 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	7c	579.24$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	5c	545$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Yes	5c	487.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	3c	356.28$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	16c	109.07$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.45	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	19c	75.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.65	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	16c	75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed No	60c	57.3$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.92	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	29c	56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1959…0b3fbacked No	79c	50$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+5.5wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+68.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jules Koundé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event