TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66b1…7e49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3218.8%6 W · 26 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-56.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Portugal vs. Croatia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$154.29
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$767.9
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+45.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$512.55
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$537.54
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+315.4%+$389.91
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
76ers vs. Cavaliersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$150
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$132.56
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$133
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+117.4%+$124.43
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+218.7%+$255.83
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+400%+$72
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+150%+$150
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.51
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$113.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+525%+$288.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Yorkshire vs Durhambacked Durham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.