Will Raúl Jiménez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2c8cd9336499bd3ca7a2d3199386764b0c64c833cc97c6e246f1d5fc929bc9

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 11, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,274 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xac7a…414fbacked No	24c	594.78$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.12	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes	77c	312.66$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.69	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes	79c	291.67$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	617	52%321 W · 296 L	-13.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No	63c	222.39$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.11	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No	21c	222$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Yes	74c	139.76$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.01	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	18c	124.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e2…5fbdbacked Yes	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes	77c	64.8$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	396	48.7%193 W · 203 L	-23.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d38…3bd9backed Yes	80c	60$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	73	42.5%31 W · 42 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No	22c	59.4$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.07	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	78c	54.67$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.28	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…b295backed No	24c	50$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdae1…7a4dbacked Yes	77c	40$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.2	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8b…35dcbacked Yes	78c	32.05$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.05	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	74cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	80c	29.21$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.84	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc21…f297backed Yes	70c	17.14$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.14	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	80c	15.4$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.08	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed Yes	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Raúl Jiménez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event