Will Omar Marmoush score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcba0f3d5b3d9a12cdff6906d0f607acdb4a76cf8ab1c7e4c31b998093beca8a1

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,139 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb437…cfb3backed No	46c	456.59$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.66	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes	67c	331.86$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.9	403	55.3%223 W · 180 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59e4…3130backed Yes	53c	275$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.75	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked No	66c	263.6$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.94	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	61c	215.98$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.07	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	32c	138.79$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.1	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed No	38c	130.64$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.64	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	96	44.8%43 W · 53 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes	59c	67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	147	39.5%58 W · 89 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ad…827cbacked Yes	55c	65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.85	129	33.3%43 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed No	57c	64.35$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…140abacked No	38c	61$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.02	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+8.8wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+44.1%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes	50c	53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	104	36.5%38 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	34c	51$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.34	662	39.6%262 W · 400 L	-48.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	66c	50.71$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.47	486	36.6%178 W · 308 L	-48.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x0111…6ac0backed Yes	62c	50$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52eb…67acbacked No	47c	41.75$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.13	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-9.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a50…edb1backed Yes	62c	40$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.8	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked No	40c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	234	29.1%68 W · 166 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed No	49c	28.47$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.52	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d8f…aef9backed Yes	49c	24.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf399…287ebacked Yes	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30b8…fbf3backed No	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes	62c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	111	56.8%63 W · 48 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…d4b9backed Yes	61c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	60c	18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.88	412	31.6%130 W · 282 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes	64c	16.78$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d82…3a1bbacked No	70c	14.83$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.45	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 146. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Omar Marmoush score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event