TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa673…c1c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.66
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.98
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+177.8%+$71.11
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+121.2%+$50.88
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$178.07
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,015.17
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$101
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$77.24
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$120
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$10.11
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.4%+$7.06
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.24
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.53
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$9.81
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+133.4%+$100.04
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$27
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+72.5%+$21.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$11.49
Will Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+66.7%+$19.74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$82.9
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+185.7%+$55.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$17.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+112.8%+$13.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+131.1%+$32.73
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.