TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f76…3dbc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$43.17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 16 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.63
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$13.33
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$15.52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$17.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+212.5%+$21.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+45%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+76.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.